Ancillary Services Insights
Day-ahead forecasts · Swedish electricity markets

Tomorrow's price, before the gate.

Every hour of tomorrow, for four price areas and ten reserve markets. Issued before the market closes, locked, and scored in public when the real prices arrive.

Showing
Click an area. The chart is the real issue.
Live · every issue public before its gate
How it works

Locked before the market closes. Scored after.

The forecast exists, hashed and timestamped by an independent authority, before anyone knows the price. Then the price arrives and the score is written next to it. Nothing is re-run.

Three issues a day · each before its own gate
00:00Reserves, auction 1FCR-N and FCR-D for tomorrow, and mFRR capacity. The first auction closes at 00:30, the capacity market at 07:30; results by 06:30 and 09:10.
11:00Day-aheadEvery hour of tomorrow for SE1 to SE4, and mFRR energy. The day-ahead market closes at 12:00; prices published 12:45.
17:00Reserves, auction 2FCR-N and FCR-D again, with the day-ahead result known. The second auction closes at 18:00, results by 19:00; a provider can sell now or hold.
Does it work · 210 days scored, plus every live issue since 11 Sep 2026
−42%Less errorthan assuming today looks like yesterday — spot SE3, every live forecast
2.6/4Cheapest hours namedof each day's four, on average
210Days scoredFeb to Aug 2026, every hour
14Marketsfour spot areas, ten reserve series
See every issue, hour by hour The full record: every forecast against what cleared, for all 14 markets, with how it is judged.
Where it works

Four areas. Ten reserve series.

SE1SE2SE3SE4
The hard part

We miss extreme spikes.

Forecast
Actual
the day we under-called
Get the issues you follow

Before each gate closes.

Each issue for the markets you pick, by email, with its hash and receipt: day-ahead at 11:01, reserves at 00:01 and 17:01. The first 50 on the list get it free while the service is in shadow.

One email per issue · unsubscribe in one click · built and operated by Jacob Ekedahl, Sweden